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Friday, October 05, 2007

Barak's back - who cares?

At Contentions, Noah Pollak waxes eloquent on the return of Ehud Barak to politics and to the Defense Ministry:

After six years out of public life, Ehud Barak, the Israeli prime minister from 1999-2001, re-emerged as Minister of Defense a little over three months ago—and rarely has someone effected such a dramatic improvement, in such a short period of time, of Israel’s standing in the region. When Barak was elected Labor Party leader in June and obtained the defense portfolio, Israel was in the midst of several crises. Some of these had been exacerbated by Israeli mishandling, but all of them demanded far more in the way of self-assured and competent leadership than what the Olmert administration (and especially Barak’s feckless predecessor at Defense, Amir Peretz) were able to offer: the 2006 Lebanon War had gone badly and emboldened Syria and Iran; the Winograd Commission report had exposed a great deal of genuinely astonishing incompetence in the Israeli political and military echelon; Hamas had just taken Gaza; tensions along the border with Syria were escalating; and perhaps worst of all, there existed inside of Israel a debilitating lack of confidence in the government’s ability to handle the impending challenges.

The mood in Israel today is hardly one of wild optimism, especially regarding Iran, but Barak’s leadership has already demonstrated both to the Israeli public and to antagonistic regimes that the IDF intends to correct its blunders. According to many reports, Barak’s first priority upon returning to the government was planning Israel’s recent strike on Syria, a sophisticated and daring mission that appears to have been a perfect success on many levels—not least of which is a demonstration to Syria and Iran that the Israeli air force can easily defeat their new Russian air defense systems, and is not afraid of trying. Barak has warned Hamas that it faces a large-scale ground operation in Gaza in response to continued rocket fire, and has declared the implementation of comprehensive missile defense to be a central precondition of any IDF withdrawal from the West Bank.

Meanwhile, the IDF has stepped up the intensity of its training, especially in reserve units and among ground forces, and has begun pouring resources into developing a multi-tiered missile defense system that will be capable of defeating every type of enemy rocket. The IDF is also developing sophisticated countermeasures for installation on its Merkava tanks to defend against the kind of advanced anti-tank missiles that proved so deadly in southern Lebanon last summer. And Barak has pursued all of these operations and goals with an uncharacteristic sense of quiet determination, bluntly warning the Israeli public in one of his few public appearances against being “deceived by the illusion of a bogus calm.”

Sorry but I cannot share Pollak's excitement. First, Peretz was so pathetic as defense minister that almost anyone - and certainly any former general - would have been an improvement. Second, Barak brings a lot of baggage to the position: the flight from Lebanon, the attempt to give away the country at Camp David in 2000 that has unrealistically raised 'Palestinian' expectations, the inept response to the outbreak of the intifada seven years ago (bombing empty buildings) that cost hundreds of Israeli lives, and the attempt to give even more of the country away at Taba when it was clear he was going to be defeated in an election two weeks later that raised 'Palestinian' expectations even more than Camp David did, are all part of Barak's 'legacy.' With Olmert possibly to be driven out of office by scandals if not by the Winograd Commission, Barak, along with Tzipi Feigele Livni and Bibi Netanyahu, is a leading candidate to replace Olmert. Do we really want Ehud Barak in power again? I think not.

2 Comments:

At 4:57 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Hi Carl,
These are all very good points, but I think you're assailing an argument that I never made. My Contentions post was a narrowly-tailored assessment of Barak's performance as defense minister, not of whether Barak was a good prime minister or whether he should be prime minister again. My point, which I stand behind, is simply that Ehud Barak deserves credit for the infusion of competence and leadership he has effected at defense over the past three months, a performance that has noticeably improved Israel's position in the region. Whether he should become PM is another matter entirely, and the reality of blogging is that you can't cover every point and every argument within the confines of 400 words.
Cheers,
Noah

 
At 9:34 PM, Blogger Carl in Jerusalem said...

Noah,

I agree that Barak was an improvement at Defense Minister. But any of Eitam, Mofaz, Ben Eliezer or even Sneh would have been an improvement at Defense Minister without the immediate Prime Ministerial aspirations. What differentiates Barak from the others is that he thinks he's qualified to be Prime Minister tomorrow and not just a few years down the road.

 

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